The 2024 Melbourne Cup is finally here, with a field of 23 elite local and international horses set to compete over the iconic 3200-meter distance at Flemington Racecourse. As one of the most prestigious events in the global horse racing calendar, the stakes are high, with a jaw-dropping $8 million prize up for grabs. With last-minute shifts in betting, unforeseen scratches, and intense speculations about favorites, this year’s Cup is shaping up to be unforgettable.
Late Moves in the Betting Market: New Joint Favorites Emerge
In a thrilling twist ahead of the race, Caulfield Cup runner-up Buckaroo and the rapidly rising contender Onesmoothoperator have emerged as joint favorites, both now listed at $7. The buzz around Onesmoothoperator has made him the day’s big mover, while Buckaroo has sustained his strong position among punters.
Vauban, the initial favorite and last year’s high-profile disappointment, has seen his odds drift to $8. However, his jockey, the renowned William Buick, remains confident, emphasizing Vauban’s high class and solid European form. “He’s the best stayer I’ve had in this race, hands down,” said Buick, who arrived in Melbourne early to prepare for what he sees as his strongest Cup chance yet.
Buick is undeterred by last year’s underwhelming result, where Vauban finished 14th despite the favoritism. This year, Buick believes Vauban has found his form, highlighting the horse’s proven stamina and tactical speed. As the race nears, Buick’s optimism suggests that, drift in odds aside, Vauban is far from an underdog.
A Field Change Shakes Up the Lineup as Athabascan Withdraws
In a sudden turn of events, outsider Athabascan was scratched from the field late Monday night. Connections of the John O’Shea-trained gelding suffered a setback after Racing Victoria’s pre-race inspection flagged a concerning cardiac arrhythmia, prompting immediate withdrawal.
The decision came after a series of blood tests and ECG evaluations, reviewed by three equine cardiology experts who recommended extensive testing before Athabascan races again. Racing Victoria released a statement clarifying that the withdrawal was due to safety concerns and the heightened risk of a cardiac incident.
Athabascan, who was runner-up in the Sydney Cup and had a pre-race price of $67, was set to be ridden by jockey Zac Lloyd. Though not a favorite, his absence shifts the dynamics of the field and potentially opens up new opportunities for other long shots.
The Race Card So Far: Highlights from Early Races on Cup Day
The excitement of Melbourne Cup Day extends beyond the main race, with a packed card featuring notable performances and surprising upsets.
- Race 1: The Darley Maribyrnong Plate saw Tycoon Star, trained by the Hayes family and ridden by Michael Dee, snatch victory. As one of the field’s roughies, Tycoon Star’s late surge brought the stable an impressive trifecta, with Bacash and Shining Smile rounding out the top three.
- Race 2: Opening Address, guided by James McDonald, claimed the TAB Trophy with a commanding performance. Coming off a strong showing in the Moonee Valley Vase, Opening Address built on his recent form to secure McDonald’s fourth win of the Carnival.
- Race 3: Cloudland added yet another win for McDonald, who steered the favorite home in the annual Subzero Handicap. This victory marks McDonald’s fifth win in just 12 rides across the Cup Carnival, solidifying his standout form this season.
- Race 4: Manolo Bling, trained by Anthony and Sam Freedman, blazed down the middle of the straight to win the Schweppervescence Plate. Known for their straight-track success, the Freedman stable celebrated another impressive performance.
- Race 5: In a jaw-dropping upset, Garachico, priced at a hefty $67, clinched the Australian Heritage Cup. The long shot’s stamina over 2800 meters saw him outlast favorites Whisky on the Hill and Newfoundland, leaving bookmakers and fans stunned.
William Buick’s Faith in Vauban: A Comeback for Redemption?
The spotlight is firmly on jockey William Buick and his partner, Vauban, as they prepare to take on a formidable field. Despite last year’s disappointing finish, Buick’s enthusiasm for this year’s race is undeniable. “Vauban didn’t run to form in 2023, but he’s stepped up this year,” said Buick, confident in the horse’s conditioning and consistency in UK and Irish circuits.
Vauban’s form is backed by impressive European performances, with Buick noting his horse’s knack for the two-mile distance — ideal for the Melbourne Cup. Vauban’s ability to position himself tactically and his powerful finishing kick are qualities Buick believes could finally secure them the Cup.
While Vauban’s class is undisputed, other top contenders like Onesmoothoperator and Sea King bring their own compelling stories, each horse capitalizing on recent wins that have cemented them as genuine threats in the field. This year’s Melbourne Cup promises a thrilling duel among seasoned internationals and emerging local stars.
Race 7: The 164th Melbourne Cup Lineup
Anticipation builds as the field finalizes for the main event. Here are some key insights into the top runners:
| Horse | Jockey | Current Odds | Key Strengths |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buckaroo | John Allen | $7 | Solid Caulfield Cup performance |
| Onesmoothoperator | Craig Williams | $7 | Momentum from recent wins |
| Vauban | William Buick | $8 | Strong European form |
| Sea King | Damien Oliver | $10 | Impressive finish in recent races |
| Absurd | Zac Purton | $12 | Tactical speed and stamina |
As the big race nears, fans and analysts alike remain divided. While Buckaroo and Onesmoothoperator have gained momentum with last-minute bets, Vauban’s class and William Buick’s confidence keep him in the conversation. Sea King and Absurd also loom large, each horse bringing recent successes and a unique skill set to the field.
Early Betting Trends and Expert Picks for Cup Day
The excitement around the 2024 Melbourne Cup has generated plenty of discussion among racing experts, with opinions varying widely. Legendary jockey Jim Cassidy has thrown his support behind Onesmoothoperator, while others believe Buckaroo’s steady performance in the Caulfield Cup could be a defining factor.
- Favorite Backers: Despite his odds drifting, Vauban remains a favorite for many, with bettors drawn to his international track record and Buick’s confidence.
- Long Shots: Garachico’s unexpected win earlier in the day has encouraged risk-takers, with several betting syndicates placing late interest in less-favored entries.
As the 164th Melbourne Cup approaches, the field is set, the bets are placed, and the stage is ready. With a blend of seasoned champions and rising stars, Australia’s greatest race promises another epic showdown that fans won’t soon forget.
